13 Oct

NHL 2016-17 predictions & preview

Preview & predictions NHL 2016-17

NHL 2016-17 Winner predictions & preview:

Preview & predictions NHL 2016-17

 

The 2016-17 NHL starts tonight and to get you a good picture of who the viking’s favourites are for this season we’ve compiled this preview with our winner predictions for the 2016-17 Stanley cup aswell as the conference winners. Last season gave us one of the most predictable Stanley cup finals that we’ve seen in a while as the Pittsburgh Penguins defeated the San José Sharks in 6 games (4-2). The Penguins had a much harder route to the finals as they faced the Rangers, the Capitals and Tampa Bay Lightning which are all top 7 teams (to be a bit modest) and each and every one of those team could’ve won the 2016 Stanley Cup. The Sharks on the other hand were only really impressive in their series against the Saint Louis Blues as the Sharks managed to avoid all the other heavy favourites in the in western conference as the Blues managed to defeat both the Dallas Stars and the Chicago Blackhawks. Though needless to say it was a much deserved victory for the Pittsburgh Penguins aswell as for the team legend Sidney Crossby. The team showed throughout the season that they were going to battle their way through every game, one of the highlights of their tremendous team spirit was in their game versus the Canadiens when Fleury got injured by Tyler Kennedy. Fleury who was bleeding from his face manned up and remained on the ice for the rest of the period.

NHL lock of the 2016/17 season:

This pick seems like a clear missprice as the bookmakers are currently valuing the pens below Tampa Bay and Washington. With such a close top-tier battle in this conference and with Pittsburg’s experience in mind aswell as the fact that the team remains almost completely intact there is at least +50 in value in this pick, though the team is currently ranked 1 on the power rankings from most of the major sports sites and the viking agree. This should probably be valued at around +300 and with the extra +150 of value you can easily pair this pick with one of the other favourites and one of the underdogs for a sweet payday before the final. The viking recommends locking Pittsburg and Tampa Bay at 1 unit each aswell as Florida Panthers at 0.5 units, this would make your total investment 2.5 units for a potential return of 4-5.5 units (for 250$ this would mean 400 – 550$).

Pittsburgh Penguins to win the eastern conference @ -185  

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Please note that this prediction features us friendly odds from the us friendly online sportsbook BetOnline.

NHL 2016-17 winner predictions:

As we said in our NBA winner predictions it’s important to look at the conference’s first before making any finals winner picks. Though one thing that is quite different from the NBA is that in the NHL it’s not only about the big star players but more about team depth and play-off experience. Well there is one thing that’s extremely important and that’s a good starting keeper, though there are quite a few elite goalkeepers in the league but as NHL is a sport where injuries are prone to happen it’s important to also have a top-tier secondary keeper. Now with all this mind it’s also important to consider the fact that the NHL is a much more even league than the NBA as both conference’s has at least 4 favourites to win the conference and 2-3 underdogs that are more than capable of winning the conference. With this in mind the best way of betting on the NHL play-offs for value is selecting a few favourites and betting 1 unit aswell as selecting 1-2 underdogs for 0.5 units (all the reasonable underdogs will have a betting odds that equal to 2x of the favourites). As we saw last year with the Sharks winning the western conference these things can and will happen. Now before we select our picks for the 2016-17 NHL season we need to examine the favourites aswell as the underdogs for each conference and determine which picks hold betting value.

NHL 2016-17 conference winner predictions:

Eastern conference:

The eastern conference favourites are the Pittsburg Penguins, Tampa Bay lightning and the Washington Capitals. A common denominator for all of those teams is that they all remain almost completely untouched since last season, furthermore all 3 of the teams went deep into the play-offs and all 3 will surely be at least top-10 teams this season aswell. Though with 3 very even favourites one thing that really stands out here is the Penguins acquisition of Mike Condon from the Canadiens, Condon really stepped up last season for Montreal and surely takes of some of the pressure that a potentially play-off injured Fleury could create, in contrast both the Capitals and the Lightning only runs with 2 goalies (though the goaltending stats from 2015-16 are extremely close for all 3 teams especially considering both GA and SA).

Why Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburg Penguins?

Well Pittsburg Penguins holds quite a bit of value this season (as we explained earlier in this article) as they should at least be at +400 but more realistically at +300 with their 2016 regular season and Stanley cup run in mind, they were the best team last season and they look to be the best team on paper this season aswell. Now the Capitals was arguably the second best team last season, however the viking feels like Tampa Bay just has more depth in their strengths than Washington.

The eastern conference underdogs picks:

Well for the underdogs of the NHL eastern conference there are really only two teams that are worth considering to bet on, namely; the New York Rangers and the Florida Panthers.  The Rangers will remain one of the viking’s favourite underdogs as long as they have Lundqvist in the goal, one could argue that the same could be said about the Canadiens but with the departure of PK Subban it feels like Montreal will be an up and down team. The Panthers really stepped up last season with Jaromir Jagr leading the team into the play-offs (yes he will be playing this season aswell as surprising as that may seem) and they look to do even better this season with the acquisition of Keith Yandle and Jason Demers.

NHL florida panthers prediction

Betting on the eastern conference:

The viking’s recommendation for betting on the eastern conference winner is a 3-way split with 1 unit on Tampa and Pittsburg aswell as 0.5 units on Florida. Your total investment at 100$ units will be 250$ and you will win 400$-550$ if the selection hits. If you’re looking to bet big money this is the best alternative, however a medium-high stake on the Panthers or on the Penguins could also prove to be a smart route as you can start hedging out the value of those bets if either team makes it to the second round or (preferably) the conference finals (just bet on the other side to win and guarantee some of your profit, preferably at least 2x your initial bet for it to be worthwhile).

Pittsburgh Penguins to win the eastern conference @ +450

Pittsburg Penguins prediction NHLPittsburgh Penguins to win the eastern conference  +450    

Tampa bay lightning NHL 2016-17 predictionTampa Bay Lightning to win the eastern conference  +400 

NHL 16/17 Panthers predictionFlorida Panthers to win the eastern conference +1100 

Western conference:

The western conference has 4 even favourites in the Sharks, the Blackhawks, the Blues and the Stars. However the viking believes that the Sharks line is a bit misspriced due to their last Stanley cup final appearance and should be at least +200 higher (which makes the Sharks quite a bad bet). Now all 3 of Dallas, Chicago and Saint Louis are 3 very strong teams and it’s quite likely that one of those teams will win the conference. Dallas looked like they would win it all in last year’s regular season but in the play-offs it’s all about experience which made the feel rather lackluster in their play-off run, with last year’s lessons learnt and the core still in the team this should be their year. Now we have the Blues which out of the 3 got furthest last season but they traded away Elliot which means that Allen will be their new no.1 keeper this season, though they did knock-out the Blackhawks out of the Stanley cup last year and that’s sure to give them a big boost heading into this season (one could say it eases the disappointment from loosing the conference final as that series was way more conference final worthy). Finally there’s the Blackhawks; a team that has won 3 out of the last 7 Stanley cup finals, as with the other big teams there not much to changing a winning concept but the Blackhawks did make one major trade which was Andrew Shaw to the Canadiens, though did they acquire Brian Campbell to strengthen their defense which might just be what they need to avoid loosing to the heavily offensive Blues yet again.

NHL chicago keeper

The lone underdog Nashville Predators:

The only underdog pick that seems to hold value here is the Predators. The young and offensive team acquired PK Subban during the transfer window to boost their already strong offense. With their recent play-off run in mind to add to the team experience it feels like this could be Nashville’s year.

Betting on the western conference:

The best way of betting on the western conference would yet again be a 3-way split on either the Stars, Blues and the Blackhawks or at the Stars, Blackhawks and the Predators. 3 units on the first combo would yield 500$-650$ for a 300$ investment and 2.5 units on the second combination would yield 600$ for a 300$ investment. To gain the most value here you should really bet on the Stars and the Blackhawks here for 500$-650$ on a 200$ investment, that selection has an implied value of 1/3 on hitting and with that in mind it’s clear that the combination holds a lot of value (not 100{3f3a17c669cbaafd8275697ca42ab2acd10cc9675f6373c8225ee480c987063d} but at least 50{3f3a17c669cbaafd8275697ca42ab2acd10cc9675f6373c8225ee480c987063d}). If you’re going with only 1 pick here then consider the taking Blackhawks, this is the team with the most play-off experience in the entire NHL pair that with the fact that they’ve a star offensive, strong goaltending in Crawford and an elite defense.

chicago nhl prediction 16-17Chicago Blackhawks to win the western conference  +600    

Blues winner prediction 16/17Saint Louis Blues to win the western conference  +650    

Predators nhl 16/17 predictionNashville Predators to win the western conference  +600    

Dallas Nhl 16-17 predictionDallas Stars to win the western conference  +500    

Chicago Blackhawks to win the western conference @ +600

Not sure where to watch the games live? Head over to our Livestream page to find a suitable stream now!

NHL 2016-17 Stanley cup winner predictions, picks & odds:

Now for the 2016-17 Stanley cup winner we recommend that you yet again go for a 3-way selection; The Penguins + the Blackhawks + the Stars. For a 3 unit 300$ investment that would yield 900$-1400$. If you’re looking for pure value here then consider placing singles on either the Blackhawks, Stars or the Panthers as all 3 of them are a bit underpriced (holding value).

 

Pittsburg Penguins prediction NHLPittsburgh Penguins to win the 2016-17 Stanley cup  +900    

Tampa bay lightning NHL 2016-17 predictionTampa Bay Lightning to win the 2016-17 Stanley cup  +800 

NHL 16/17 Panthers predictionFlorida Panthers to win the 2016-17 Stanley cup +2200 

chicago nhl prediction 16-17Chicago Blackhawks to win the 2016-17 Stanley cup  +1200    

Blues winner prediction 16/17Saint Louis Blues to win the 2016-17 Stanley cup  +1200    

Predators nhl 16/17 predictionNashville Predators to win the 2016-17 Stanley cup  +1400    

Dallas Nhl 16-17 predictionDallas Stars to win the 2016-17 Stanley cup  +1400   

04 Oct

Lyon vs Juventus prediction 2016-10-18

Lyon vs Juventus prediction

Lyon vs Juventus prediction & preview 2016-10-18:

Lyon vs Juventus prediction

On the 18th of October Lyon welcomes Juventus over at Stade des Lumières in the third round of the Champions league. Juventus are currently tied for the lead with Sevilla with 4 points and Lyon currently have 3 points. With Dinamo Zagreb coming out as the punching bag of the group this match is do or die for both teams as Juventus needs the win in order to secure the first place spot (as Sevilla won against Lyon) and Lyon desperately needs at least a draw here to still have a decent chance of making it out of the group stage.

Best pick:

The Juventus to win pick holds tremendous value with our prediction in mind and is a great banker bet to add to your betting slip.

Lyon vs Juventus, Juventus to win @ 1.69 

Lyon vs Juventus, Juventus to win  @ -150  Bovada logo

Please note that this prediction features both us friendly odds from the us friendly sportsbook Bovada aswell as european odds from the international bookmaker Nordicbet.

Looking for champions league trophy winner picks? Check out our Champions league winner predictions here 

Lyon vs Juventus prediction:

The viking’s prediction for this fixture is an easy victory for Juventus. After the 0-0 game against Sevilla they need to win this match in order to be able to secure the first place in the group. Lyon will be coming into the fixture with their recent derby victory over Saint Ettiene in “Derby du Rhône” but without their biggest star Lacazette to secure the goals the best that they can hope for here is the draw. However that’s not an easy thing versus a star heavy team that are on a mission, with their lead in the Serie-A Juventus can put all their focus on this game. The absences of Marchisio aswell as their other injuries is a bit problematic for the Italian squad though but Juventus has a large squad and a lot of worthy substitutes such as Mandzukic, Pjaca and Zaza to fill the gaps.

Lyon vs Juventus Head to Head:

Lyon and Juventus have faced off 3 times with Juventus winning all matches by 1 goal.

Lyon will be coming into this game with 2 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw overall aswell as 4 victories and 1 defeat at home. They are currently 5th in the ligue 1 standings which is decent considering that the team rebuilt their defense during the transfer window. Bruno Génésio’s men will be without the team star Lacazette who is reported injured aswell as Rafael, Grenier and Jallet.

Juventus will be coming into this fixture with 4 victories and 1 defeat overall aswell as 4 victories and 1 defeat on the road. The Italian powerhouse is currently at the top of the standings in Serie-A with a comfortable 4 point lead over Napoli, though they only managed a draw versus Sevilla in a 0-0 game that should’ve ended in a complete goal fest. With the iconic Paul Pogba leaving the team during the transfer window there were some questionmarks on the team however with the acquisitions of Alves to complement Sandro in the defense and Higuain to complement Dybala in the offense aswell as Miralem Pjanic to strengthen the midfield those are sure to be answered. Juventus will be without Rolando Mandragora, Claudio Marchisio, Kwadwo Asamoah, Medhi Benatia, Daniele Rugani, Stephan Lichtsteiner, Paolo De Ceglie, Federico Mattiello and Rolando Mandragora.

Not sure where to watch the game live? Head over to our Livestream page to find a suitable stream now!

Tip from the viking:Preview

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European odds from Nordicbet for Lyon vs Juventus:

Lyon vs Juventus prediction:

Lyon vs Juventus, 1 – 3 @ 14.00  

The viking’s picks for this game:

Halftime/fulltime, Juventus/Juventus @ 2.55  

Nordicbet-free-bet

US Friendly odds from Bovada us friendly online sportsbook for Lyon vs Juventus:

Lyon vs Juventus prediction:

Lyon  vs Juventus, 1 – 3 @ +1250 Bovada logo

The viking’s picks for this game:

Halftime/fulltime, Juventus/Juventus  @ +130  Bovada logo

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06 Sep

US Open quarterfinals preview & predictions 2016

Us Open quarterfinals prediction

US Open quarterfinals preview & prediction:

This year’s US Open is progressing nicely and we’re already at the quarterfinals stage of the grand slam. The 4th round gave us a few upsets as Rafael Nadal fell under the pressure and lost to Loucas Pouille in an epic 5-set tiebreak, Nadal was down 2-1 in sets and it looked like it was over for Rafa but momentum shifted and Rafa took back the 4th set with 6-3, Pouille managed to fight back and won the match at 8-6 in the tiebreak. The highlights of the mens tournament were Djokovic, Murray and Nishikori. All three players put on impressive matches and they all won in straight sets. Andy Murray managed to defeat Grigor Dimitrov while only dropping 5 games in total, Kei Nishikori on the other hand showed that he is more than capable of dealing with niche players such as Ivo Karlovic as he countered Ivo’s serve with superior movement. The womens tournament gave us a few more upsets as Sevastova, Pliskova, Wozniacki and Konjuh managed to defeat some of the top ranked players in the WTA. The most notable match here was when Pliskova recovered a 6-4, 3-1 disadvantage against Venus Williams into a 6-4, 4-6, 6-7 victory. If you followed our tips for round 4 you would’ve hit 3/5 of the unit bets in addition to two upsets in Sevastova and Pouille.

Stanislas Wawrinka:

In addition to Venus Williams there was one other player that put on yet again an immensely underwhelming performance, namely: “Stan the man” Wawrinka. Stanislas has shown that he isn’t at his top level which is on par with Djokovic and Murray. Since his second round game versus Giannessi we’ve noticed that he’s struggling with his focus and as a result his forehand is suffering. Wawrinka barely made it through the third round after recovering from match point against Daniel Evans. These issues were yet again showing in the fourth round and Wawrinka dropped match point at straight sets versus Illya Marchenko even if he managed to regain focus in the fourth set which he won with 6-3 following a cheap break this is something which we recommend that you look for in Wawrinka’s upcoming matches. If you see him getting frustrated then back his opponent for the next game. Wawrinka is an aggressive player who uses the court to win advantages so these kind of situations are bound to happen, with this tip you could make quite a bit of money with some smart live betting.

Us Open quarterfinals prediction

Tip from the viking:

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Novak Djokovic vs Jo-Wilfried Tsonga prediction:

This match will be the first real test of the tournament for Djokovic, who have had a cakewalk so far in the tournament and only played 7 sets in total. Tsonga on the other hand has not had the same luck but he has been quite convincing and only dropped 2 sets in 4 matches. This is a well tested fixture for the two players who’ve faced each other 21 times before. Djokovic has however dominated Tsonga as of late and won 11 out of their 12 latest matches, most of those victories without dropping a single set. The viking’s prediction for this match is an easy victory for Djokovic. Novak showed in his decisive victory that he’s back to his old level and he will be a lot more rested than Tsonga, something which is gigantic advantage in such an intense tournament as the US Open. Our recommendation is that you bet on Djokovic as a banker bet or an odds booster for a bigger coupon. If you’re looking for value then pick Djokovic to win in 3 sets.

Novak Djokovic to win @ 1.15  

Novak Djokovic to win @ -750 

Kei Nishikori vs Andy Murray prediction:

The fixture between Nishikori and Andy is yet another interesting one as it will be the first real test of the tournament for Murray aswell. Nishikori looked fantastic in his game versus Karlovic and managed to overcome Ivo and his impressive serve in 3 sets. Nishikori did however reveal a big weakness in that match as he dropped 4 straight points in the tiebreak after reaching match point at 6-0, if Andy can get Nishikori to drop his focus early then this could very well be a 3-0 Murray game. Not an easy task but Murray who has only dropped one set so far is looking like the best player of the tournament and he’s sure to be confident heading into the match with his recent Olympic gold and Wimbledon title in mind aswell as a 7-1 record over Nishikori. The viking’s prediction for this match is a straight set victory for Murray, simply because he’s looking like the world no.1 at the moment and he has every single advantage over Nishikori that one could have.

Andy Murray to win @ 1.16  

Andy Murray to win @ -650 

Andy Murray vs Nishikori prediction

Juan Martin Del Potro vs Stanislas Wawrinka prediction:

Juan Martin Del Potro has had a fantastic tournament so far and is taking this US Open by storm, he hasn’t dropped a single set so far which is something that even Murray or Djokovic haven’t managed. Del Potro who won the Olympic silver when he took on Murray defeated Wawrinka back at Wimbledon in 4 sets and the viking’s prediction for this match is that he will defeat in this match aswell. Del Potro has already won against both David Ferrer and Dominic Thiem, two players that were in this US Open with a shot at the title. In fact Del Potro didn’t drop a single set when doing so. Wawrinka on the other hand has as we mentioned earlier showed signs of weakness in almost every match of the tournament. This is a perfect opportunity to make a lot of money, bet BIG on Del Potro and thank us later on Twitter!

Juan Martin Del Potro to win @ 1.65  

Juan Martin Del Potro to win @ -150 

Juan Martin Del Potro Wawrinka prediction

03 Sep

US Open round 4 predictions & picks

Sevastova Konta prediction

US Open review and round 4 picks & predictions:

This year’s US Open has not been without surprises so far and even if most of the big names are still in the mix there’s been a couple of big upsets. One of the big favourites to win the women’s tournament world no.3 Garbine Muguruza was defeated in straight sets in the second round by rank 48th Anastasija Sevastova. In the mens tournament world no.9 Marin Cilic got defeated in the third round versus Jack Sock with 3-0 in sets after winning the first two rounds with 3-0 in sets.

Another big upset was rank 6th Milos Raonic getting dropped in the second round by rank 120th Ryan Harrison with 3-1 in sets. However it would seem that Novak Djokovic is out of his slump and aiming for yet another grand slam final, most likely versus Andy Murray who’s yet to drop a set in the tournament.

Furthermore it would seem that Serena Williams have recovered from her shoulder injury that haunted her at the Cincinnati Masters event as she has absolutely dominated her first games and with Muguruza out Serena’s chances to win another title just sky rocketed.

Sevastova Konta prediction

US Open round 4 picks & predictions:

Here are some of the picks that we here at Bettingviking consider to be the best picks for the 4th round. To see our winner predictions for the whole tournament and to get some possible picks to reach the finals or win the tournament check out our US Open 2016 preview here.

US Open round 4 predictions

Novak Djokovic vs Kyle Edmund prediction:

The viking’s prediction for this fixture is that Djokovic will dominate Edmund. Novak has gotten a lucky start to the tournament with Vesely leaving a WO in the second round and Youzhny retiring at the 6th game of the match in the third one. The two have faced each other one time earlier which was earlier this year, a match that ended 6-3,6-3 in favor of Djokovic.

Kyle Edmund did defeat both Gasquet and Isner, only dropping one set but against a well-rested Djokovic he should stand no chance what so ever.

Novak Djokovic to win with 3 – 0 @ 1.55  

Novak Djokovic to win with 3 – 0 @ -180 

Rafael Nadal vs Lucas Pouille prediction:

The viking’s prediction for this fixture is that the match will go over at least 3.5 sets. Even though Nadal has won every match so far in the tournament with 3-0 and Pouille has played almost 2/3 sets more than him we should not forget that Pouille is one of the underdogs that the experts thought would go far in this tournament, Lucas did reach the quarters of this year’s Wimbledon and when doing so he defeated Del Potro among others.

It’s also good to remember that Nadal is coming from a wrist injury and did have to take a break for several weeks before the Olympics. It’s also worth to note that Nadal did get destroyed at the Cincinnati Master, loosing in the second round with 6-1, 6-3 to Borna Coric. It could be smart to place a small unit play on Pouille in this fixture just for the value and hope that Nadal is feeling his wrist (something which is possible due to the intensity of a grand slam).

Over 3.5 sets @ 2.30  

Over 3.5 sets @ +175 

Nadal vs Edmund prediction

Madison Keys vs Caroline Wozniacki prediction:

The viking’s prediction for this game is an easy victory for Madison Keys. The rank 9 american has had quite an impressive season and is one of the favourites to at least reach the semi-finals. The odds on Keys are a bit high and as such the straight out winner pick holds quite a bit of value, making this a perfect banker pick to slam quite a bit of money on.

Madison keys to win @ 1.47  

Madison keys to win @ -210 

Petra Kvitova vs Angelique Kerber prediction:

This is one of the biggest fixtures of the 4th round of the women’s tournament, featuring two of the big favourites still in the tournament. Kvitova who has been struggling throughout the whole season finally seems to have made a comeback to the top tier of the WTA following a great Olympic performance that ended in a bronze medal, defeating Madison Keys in the bronze match.

Kerber and Kvitova have faced each other several times before and they’re currently 4-4 in head to head matches. However Kerber has won both of their two most recent matches (WTA Championship 2015 and WTA Stuttgart semi-final).

Angelique Kerber on the other hand has climbed the rankings and is just a few points behind Serena to make the world no.1 place, something that will have her more motivated than any other player in this tournament. Pair that with an Australian Open title, a Wimbledon final, an Olympic silver aswell as several other titles on the WTA tour and you get the picture just how good Kerber is this season.

Kerber’s head to head results versus Kvitova aswell as the chance of becoming 1st on the WTA rankings aswell as her superior shape this season makes us here at Bettingviking think that Kerber to win this fixture is one of the best bets so far of the 2016 US Open.

Angelique Kerber to win @ 1.46  

Angelique Kerber to win @ -220 

Kerber vs Kvitova prediction

Johanna Konta vs Anastasija Sevastova prediction:

Yet another interesting fixture and the viking’s prediction for this match is that it ends in over 2 sets. Konta has had quite a good season and quite recently beat Venus Williams for the WTA Stanford title. On the other hand we have Sevastova who will have the confidence boost of defeating Muguruza in straight sets earlier in the tournament.

If you’re looking for pure value in this match then consider taking Sevastova as the out right winner of the match just for the juice.

Over 2.5 sets @ 2.50  

Over 2.5 sets @ +170