10 Sep

Djokovic vs Wawrinka US Open final preview & prediction

US OPEN final prediction

US Open final preview & prediction Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka:

It was an explosive friday yesterday with all of our main predictions hitting in the semifinals and now Novak Djokovic and Stanislas Wawrinka will battle it out for the title in the 2016 US Open final. Both players have had a similar story in the tournament, being two big question marks for fans, bookmakers and punters. Novak Djokovic being in a slump was the talk of the tennis world after he dropped out in the first round at the Rio Olympics prior to getting knocked out in the third round of Wimbledon. Nole had also rumor of being injured for this tournament as he withdrew from the Cincinnati Masters due to a recurring wrist injury, however Djokovic got his way to the finals paved out for him as prior to the semis he had only played 10 sets in total. The viking predicted that we would see the Novak Djokovic vs Gael Monfils semi go over 3.5 sets and it did, though Novak looked to be back to his old dominating style and we’re sure that he’s out of his slump after that performance.

Stan “The man” Wawrinka haven’t had the best season either, though the competition in the ATP has grown fiercer this season with Del Potro, Nadal and a few others coming out big. Early on in the tournament we were sure that Wawrinka was going to get knocked out by one of the major underdogs, he had several showing weaknesses. However Wawrinka managed to fight back after round 4, first he used his strategizing play style to revenge on Juan Martin Del Potro who knocked him out from Wimbledon. Stan showed that he had been working on his forehand which had suffered in the previous rounds once he lost momentum. Stan was the underdog coming into the finals, when he as predicted by Bettingviking in our previous preview defeated Kei Nishikori. Wawrinka lost the first set but did something which he showed us in the Del Potro game aswell, he adapted and then gained back his momentum.

This is something that is key for Wawrinka as when he has momentum he can rival anyone in the ATP’s top 5 but when he loses it his focus is quick to follow with it and we see him loosing to sub top 10 players. What Wawrinka has shown in these matches is that he has improved his willpower and that he’s capable of adapting to opponents mid-game to figure out a winning strategy and win momentum.

US OPEN final prediction

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Djokovic vs Wawrinka head to head:

“Djoker” and “Stan the man” have faced each other 25 times before dating back to 2004 and as such this is quite a classic matchup in the biggest tournaments of the ATP tour. Novak leads their head to head record with a whopping 21-4, however they’ve only faced off in one grand slam final prior to this one and that was in last years French Open final. A match that Wawrinka managed to win with 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, 6-4.

In that final we saw Wawrinka doing the exact same thing that he did versus Kei in the semis here at US Open, he lost the first set and then adapted and capitalized on Djokovic’s momentum by using one of his greatest strengths; Hitting ground strokes around the court to get Djoko tired.

us open final preview

US Open final prediction, Wawrinka vs Djokovic:

The viking’s prediction for this US Open final between Stanislas Wawrinka and Novak Djokovic is a victory for Wawrinka in over 3 sets. Novak will be more rested than Wawrinka and as such fatigue wont be an issue for him but his wrists problems prior to the tournament is something that Stanislas is more than likely to try and abuse in his game plan. We think that for Wawrinka it’s more in reaching the finals than the final itself, once he’s there his self confidence and momentum is at it’s peak and he’s able to play to his full extent. Novak Djokovic on the other seems to always be at his full extent (with the exception of his previous slump), sure he can kick it up one level or two as we’ve seen in the classic Federer vs Djokovic grand slam finals but those finals are more than finals for Djokovic as it’s his chance to prove to the world who the true world no.1 is and that’s
something that’s sure to give him extra motivation.

They key here for Wawrinka will be the first sets, if he loses the first set he will need to comebacNovak djokovis vs stanislas wawrinka prediction & previewk with a plan that allows him to get an advantage. However this is not the easiest task versus a player like Djokovic who just seems to hit perfect balls on every stroke in just about every game he has played. This is however Wawrinka’s final to win with the personal journey he has done with his motivation and game during the tournament. We should expect Wawrinka to be at the top of his game and even if he drops the first set, he’ll have a chance to win this final.

The other good picks for this match are the over 3.5 sets pick and the over 39.5 games pick. The over 3.5 sets pick holds EXTREME value as it’s very unlikely that either player takes this 3-0, that pick should be at 1.10 not 1.50.

 

We’ve also compiled some tips for live betting on this match at the bottom of this page.

European odds from Nordicbet for the US Open final 2016:

Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka prediction:

Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka, 2 – 3 @ 7.95  

The viking’s picks for this game:

Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka, Wawrinka to win @ 3.25 

Over 3.5 sets @ 1.50 

Over 39.5 games @ 1.81 

US Friendly odds from Bovada us friendly online sportsbook for the US Open final 2016:

Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka prediction:

Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka, 2 – 3 @ +650 

The viking’s picks for this game:

Novak Djokovic vs Stanislas Wawrinka, Wawrinka to win @ +225  

Over 3.5 sets @ -165  

Over 39.5 games @ -120  

All odds for this bet are from the well respected bookmaker Bovada, the best bookmaker for US players. Bovada offers both mobile betting (bet with ease from your phone) aswell as livebetting (in-play betting). New members at Bovada can enjoy a 50{3f3a17c669cbaafd8275697ca42ab2acd10cc9675f6373c8225ee480c987063d} welcome bonus up to 250$. Click here to find out  more about Bovada now!

Live betting tips for the US Open final 2016:

  • Watch the final live for both the entertainment and in order to capitalize on our tips here.
  • If Wawrinka looses the first set, watch the first games in the second set and look for changes in his play. Is he trying to use the court to his advantage? If Wawrinka succeeds with a new gameplan he typically plays at his top level and he could take that set very fast. Slam the second set winner line if you notice this.
  • Look for changes in Wawrinka’s momentum, when he starts to loose his focus he usually hits his forehand strokes in the net early on in the game. Livebet a few point winners on Djokovic, maybe even the game if it’s his serve.
  • Wawrinka will show that he has regained his momentum by making a finger to the head gesture, when he does this he usually have his focus back and you could try betting on a few points or even a break.
  • Watch Djokovic’s wrist and facial expressions, Wawrinka will push him to give everything he’s got and this could mean that his previous injury starts to hurt again from getting overworked. If this happens Wawrinka will notice aswell and hit hard strokes back at him, if you see this SLAM the Wawrinka winner line.
09 Sep

Pliskova vs Kerber US Open Women’s final preview & prediction

us open finals prediction

US Open finals Karolina Pliskova vs Angelique Kerber preview:

The final game of the women’s US Open 2016 is finally and here and with it comes a new world number 1. Angelique Kerber almost took the no. 1 spot from Serena Williams back at the Cincinnati Masters event as a victory in the finals would’ve given her enough points. However she lost in straight sets to Pliskova who took her sixth title in her career. Karolina has since then been a big upset in this tournament, managing to beat both of the Williams sisters. She defeated Serena Williams for her spot in this final in straight sets, Serena who had lots of question marks surrounding her before the tournament look to be right back on the track just as Pliskova came and showed her that momentum is key. However Williams looked to be suffering and her coach confirmed that she had a knee injury which plagued her during the match.

Angelique Kerber had quite an easier challenge on her way to the US Open finals as she faced Roberta Vinci in the quarterfinals and Wozniacki in the semi, two matches that Angelique managed to win in straight sets. In fact Angelique Kerber hasn’t dropped a single set so far in this grand slam tournament. On the other hand Pliskova has only dropped a single set and that was in her epic comeback match versus Venus Williams where she managed to recover from 4-6, 1-3 and turn the match into 4-6, 6-4, 7-6. A victory that put an important benchmark in Pliskova’s career, reaching a grand slam semifinal. In reaching the final Karolina now has her chance at a grand slam title and a real career legacy.

us open finals prediction

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Pliskova vs Kerber head to head:

Karolina Pliskova and Angelique Kerber are 3-4 in their overall head to head meetings. However in their latest 4 fixtures they’ve won 2 each, 3 out of those fixtures were in finals matches and one was in a semifinal. In 5 out of 7 matches the match have been won in straight sets, however in 2/3 final matches the match has gone over 2.5 sets. Karolina Pliskova will be coming into this match on a 11 game win streak and Angelique Kerber has a 6 game win streak (the previous matches in this US Open ) as she lost the Cincinnate finals to Pliskova.

US Open finals Angelique Kerber vs Karolina Pliskova prediction and picks:

The viking’s prediction for this match is a 3 set victory to Pliskova. In terms of pure skill Angelique Kerber is superior but Karolina Pliskova will surely have the momentum advantage here as it’s her first grand slam final, a match which she reached while defeating both Williams sisters and only dropping one set in total. However Angelique Kerber has looked better in this tournament however she came into this grand slam with another goal except for the title, the no.1 title spot. This feels like it was meant to be Serena Williams vs Angelique Kerber in the final and it’s possibly that Kerber was expecting that aswell and as such wont have a complete game plan planned out against Pliskova.

If Pliskova breaks early then we suggest that you look for the 2-0 Pliskova pick as we might see a repeat of the Cincinnati Masters final where a tired Kerber starting making faults and dropped her game as she started to lose. We value this match at about even odds for both players with their h2h record, Pliskova’s last victory over Kerber aswell as the fact that this is Pliskova’s first grand slam final in mind (it’s bound to be magic, stay away for the under picks even if you go with Kerber). This means that the 2.50 odds on Pliskova is a great value bet and a statisticly good bet.

Pliskova vs kerber prediction

European odds from Nordicbet for the womens US Open final 2016:

Angelique Kerber vs Karolina Pliskova prediction:

Angelique Kerber vs Karolina Pliskova, 1 – 2 @ 4.50  

The viking’s picks for this game:

Angelique Kerber vs Karolina Pliskova, Pliskova to win @ 2.50 

Over 2.5 sets @ 2.12 

 

US Friendly odds from Bovada us friendly online sportsbook for the womens US Open final 2016:

Angelique Kerber vs Karolina Pliskova prediction:

Angelique Kerber vs Karolina Pliskova, 1 – 2 @ +300 

The viking’s picks for this game:

Angelique Kerber vs Karolina Pliskova, Pliskova to win @ +145  

Over 2.5 sets @ +115  

 

All odds for this bet are from the well respected bookmaker Bovada, the best bookmaker for US players. Bovada offers both mobile betting (bet with ease from your phone) aswell as livebetting (in-play betting). New members at Bovada can enjoy a 50{3f3a17c669cbaafd8275697ca42ab2acd10cc9675f6373c8225ee480c987063d} welcome bonus up to 250$. Click here to find out  more about Bovada now!

09 Sep

US Open Semifinals preview & predictions

Wawrinka vs Nishikori preview

US Open Semifinals preview & predictions:

The 2016 US Open semifinals are upon us and the stakes couldn’t be higher for world no.1 Djokovic to prove that he is back as he was “handed” yet another walk over/retire match as Tsonga was suffering from a knee injury and had to retire in the second set. His opponent here in the semis Gael Monfils put on a huge upset 3-0 win over Loucas Pouille who had knocked out Rafael Nadal in the previous round. Both the Monfils match and what proved to be the best match of the quarters (namely Wawrinka vs Del Potro) showed us a valuable point to consider when betting on these matches; fatigue.

Pouille lacked energy in his game and wasn’t as fast as he usually is which meant that Monfils could simply lob the ball over him when they met close to the net. In the Del Potro vs Wawrinka match Del Potro got the upper hand early but Wawrinka managed to win momentum and reach his unstoppable style where he can rival anyone. Stanislas managed to utilize Del Potro’s weak backhand to win easy points and as Del Potro tried to counter with slicing the ball back to recover his position he had to run quite a lot. After loosing the third set to Wawrinka it was clearly showing that Del Potro was tired in his legs and that in conjunction with loss of momentum gave Wawrinka his first impressive victory of the tournament.

Now there was one more major event that occurred in the quarters, Kei Nishikori managed to beat the world no.2 (and possibly currently the best player in the world) Andy Murray in 5 sets with 1-6, 6-4, 4-6, 6-1, 7-5. This match showcased one of the biggest factors to look at when live betting on tennis; Momentum. Murray started of the match by winning 5 straight games, ending the first set with 1-6. However the second set had multiple rain delays and while the match was paused Nishikori had the time to reset and regain his momentum. The break of the second set showed us yet another important factor to look at; focus. Murray was down 4-5 serving for the tie as he lost his focus and threw away the game. Andy regained it quickly though and was up 2-1 heading into the fourth set when yet another misfortunate event happened; The set was tied at 1-1 with Murray at break point as the umpire made the decision to replay the point due to the loud crowd. After this Murray completely lost his focus and Kei went on to win the set 6-1 and the next one 7-5.

US OPEN Semifinals prediction

US Open Semifinals predictions:

Now we mentioned three important things to think about from the quarterfinals and those were focus, momentum and fatigue. Three things that doesn’t directly correlate to skill but they are key when predicting matches in grand slams like the 2016 US Open. Playing up to five sets every day for a week is something that can and will take a toll on both the body and the mind of the players.

Novak Djokovic vs Gael Monfils prediction:

This should prove to be a very though fixture for the Frenchman Monfils as he has faced Djokovic 12 times prior to this one, a head to head which Djokovic leads with 12 to 0. This will be Monfils first grand slam semifinal in his 12 years of pro action, something which is sure to contribute to his spirit for this match. Though even if Monfils is close to the grand slam final benchmark, this looks like an easy victory for Djokovic. With Federer injured and Murray out in the quarters all of his greatest rivals are out and with that in mind it’s almost certain that Djokovic will have his mindset on winning yet another title. In addition to having won all of their previous meetings and being the superior player Djokovic will have the fatigue advantage as he have only played two full matches so far in the tournament, in fact he has only played 10 sets in total.  Compare that to Monfils 15 sets and you get quite a clear picture of who will have the most energy for the match.

US OPEN semifinals preview

Fact: Monfils did actually managed to beat Djokovic back in 2004, but in a futures match

The viking’s prediction for this match is a victory for Novak Djokovic, however the odds on him are at the correct value. We suggest that you consider a small unit play on Gael Monfils on the off chance that he wants to add a potential grand slam title to his legacy of being one of the most entertaining tennis players in history with his trick shots and energy. The picks that makes the most sense is the over 35.5 games pick (has a chance to hit even at 3 sets) and the over 3.5 sets pick as Djokovic injured wrist rumors (prior to the tournament) and Monfils potential legacy win must be taken into account here.

Bet on our recommended picks here:

Over 35.5 games @ 1.15  

Over 35.5 games win @ -750 

 

Stanislas Wawrinka vs Kei Nishikori prediction:

This is probably one of the hardest matches to predict of the tournament as Stan Wawrinka holds the upper hand in terms of pure skill and strategy. Though Nishikori isn’t far behind and he has looked way better than Wawrinka in the tournament so far. The duo has a head to head record of 3-2 in favor of “Stan the man” but Nishikori won their most recent fixture with 7-6, 6-1 at the quarters of the Canadian Masters two months ago.

We doubted Stan at the quarters due to his very lackluster performance in the first rounds but he proved that with his ability to strategize and use the court to his advantage he can be unstoppable. This is also Stans greatest strength as he’s able to get his opponent in a really bad position and then use his great play to take easy points, pair this with a strong serve and overall great skill. However being a very aggressive player Stan is prone to make mistakes at times and his results usually correlate to his momentum which often makes him drop focus and throw away points or makes him absolutely dominate the very elite of the tennis world.

Kei Nishikori has a bit similar play style to Wawrinka and is an aggressive player himself, however he utilizes speed to get into great positions and finish off his opponents. Nishikori has shown this tournament that he can handle a wide variety of skill sets; defeating Karlovic in straight sets and overcoming Murray, two very different players.

The key point for this match will be momentum, Nishikori will need to make a few smart plays to get Stan to drop his momentum and then get him into tilting mode. Stan on the other hand could out strategize Nishikori and make him run to much in the opening sets. The viking’s prediction for this match is a victory for Wawrinka as he will have his fire back after defeating Del Potro, Stan frequently put his finger against his head to show Del Potro that he can’t get into his head and drop his momentum. After making that clear statement and then living up to it Stan is sure to have his spirits and focus at high levels.  We value both winner selections at about even odds. This means that there is positive value in betting on Stanislas which in turn means that it’s a very good bet in statistical terms.

Wawrinka vs Nishikori preview

Bet on our recommended picks here:

Stanislas Wawrinka to win @ 2.15  

Stanislas Wawrinka to win @ +120 

07 Sep

Bet on US Open and get a gift from Betsson

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